In the battle for the first battleground electoral vote, private polls have proven to be powerful weapons, and Vice President Kamala Harris seems to be the likely victor. Nebraska’s Omaha-based 2nd Congressional District is a key area of focus, as it awards an elector to the candidate who wins the most votes in each congressional district. Recent presidential elections have shown that a few thousand votes in certain states can determine the outcome of the Electoral College and the presidency.
Despite efforts by former President Donald Trump to change Nebraska’s law to give all electors to the statewide winner, GOP state Sen. Mike McDonnell resisted the change, influenced by a successful campaign by Democrats. They used data from private polls to show McDonnell that supporting Trump would hurt his chances of winning a mayoral race in Omaha, which leans Democratic.
Democrats have outspent Republicans in advertising in the district, indicating their confidence in Harris’ chances of winning the electoral vote. Private polls suggest Harris has a significant lead over Trump in the district, with Biden winning by a large margin in 2020. While the district may not be the most crucial tipping point, a victory for Trump there could indicate a win for him overall, while a win for Harris may not secure her the presidency. Despite their optimism, Democrats are not taking anything for granted and continue to engage with voters to ensure success in the November election.
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